Michigan St
W-L: ( 2- 6) PR = 85.0217Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 904 H Toledo ( 6- 2, 83.4) 30- 20 912 H Ea. Michigan ( 4- 5, 74.9) 35- 7 919 A Notre Dame ( 7- 1, 99.1) 10- 27 926 H Nebraska ( 5- 3, 92.8) 13- 31 1003 A Wisconsin ( 5- 3, 91.4) 3- 31 1010 H Illinois ( 5- 3, 87.7) 37- 38 1017 H Northwestern ( 6- 2, 92.8) 21- 24 1024 A UCLA ( 8- 0, 98.3) 10- 28 1107 A Michigan ( 5- 3, 88.3) 1114 H Washington ( 5- 3, 88.4) 1120 H Oregon ( 5- 3, 94.4) 1128 A Rutgers ( 2- 6, 78.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
904 H Toledo 30-20 10 5 ++ 5.16
912 H Ea. Michigan 35- 7 28 13 1.71
919 A Notre Dame 10-27 -17 -17 0.00
926 H Nebraska 13-31 -18 -5 --- -10.37
1003 A Wisconsin 3-31 -28 -10 -- -5.42
1010 H Illinois 37-38 -1 0 -1.48
1017 H Northwestern 21-24 -3 -5 1.61
1024 A UCLA 10-28 -18 -16 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 926 H Nebraska 13-31 -18 -5 --- -10.37 1003 A Wisconsin 3-31 -28 -10 -- -5.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 904 H Toledo 30-20 10 5 ++ 5.16 |
Michigan St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| California | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| NC State | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Syracuse | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Virginia | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Va. Tech | Va. Tech | Va. Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Charlotte | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Ea. Carolina | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Fl. Atlantic | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| No. Texas | No. Texas | No. Texas | ||
| Rice | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| So. Florida | So. Florida | So. Florida | ||
| Temple | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Tulane | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Tulsa | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| UAB | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Kansas St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | We. Virginia | We. Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Michigan St | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio State | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Purdue | Purdue | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Purdue | |
| Rutgers | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Int | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| J'ville St | J'ville St | J'ville St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La. Tech | La. Tech | La. Tech | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| N. Mexico St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Sam Houston | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| UTEP | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| We. Kentucky | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Mass. | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Akron | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Ball State | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Michigan St | |
| Bowl'g Green | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Buffalo | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Ce. Michigan | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Ea. Michigan | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Kent St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Miami (OH) | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| No. Illinois | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Ohio | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Toledo | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| We. Michigan | We. Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | We. Michigan | |
| Air Force | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawai'i | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Nevada | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Michigan St | |
| San Jose St | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| UNLV | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Utah St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Wyoming | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | ||
| Wash. St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| App State | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Arkansas St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Coastal Car. | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Georgia So. | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Georgia St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| J. Madison | J. Madison | J. Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Marshall | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Old Dominion | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| So. Miss | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| So. Alabama | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Texas St. | Texas St. | Texas St. | ||
| Troy | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| UL Monroe | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Delaware | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Missouri St | Michigan St | Michigan St |
PowerWise = 68
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 H Toledo ( 6- 2, 83.4) 30-20 -16.53 16.71 -3.20 1.02 27.53
1 H Ea. Michigan ( 4- 5, 74.9) 35- 7 -24.97 8.27 -3.20 1.02 10.33
1 A Notre Dame ( 7- 1, 99.1) 10-27 -0.81 32.43 3.20 1.02 -1.21
1 H Nebraska ( 5- 3, 92.8) 13-31 -7.05 26.19 -3.20 1.02 -5.22
1 A Wisconsin ( 5- 3, 91.4) 3-31 -8.49 24.75 3.20 1.02 -2.70
1 H Illinois ( 5- 3, 87.7) 37-38 -12.16 21.08 -3.20 1.02 -7.82
1 H Northwestern ( 6- 2, 92.8) 21-24 -7.07 26.17 -3.20 1.02 -5.23
1 A UCLA ( 8- 0, 98.3) 10-28 -1.61 31.63 3.20 1.02 -0.81
------
14.88
|
winning pts = 37.8658 losing points = -22.9833
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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